3.2.8 Timeframe

Finding the right timeframe for future scenario writing is crucial for several reasons:

  1. Relevance: The selected timeframe should align with the decision-making horizon of the stakeholders involved. If the timeframe is too short, the scenarios may not capture significant long-term trends or changes. Conversely, if it’s too long, the scenarios may become overly speculative and less actionable. We recommend somewhere between 15 and 40 years.
  2. Strategic Alignment: Aligning the timeframe with strategic objectives ensures that the scenarios provide actionable insights for guiding long-term planning and decision-making processes effectively.
  3. Resource Optimization: Selecting an appropriate timeframe allows organizations to allocate resources efficiently, focusing efforts on areas that are most pertinent to their long-term objectives while avoiding unnecessary investment in speculative or distant future scenarios.

In summary, finding the right timeframe for future scenario writing ensures that the scenarios are relevant, accurate, and useful for strategic planning and decision-making processes.